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SYDNEY prepares for derby drama as FC hosts the Wanderers, while Roar v Reds could deliver the quality in a big A-League weekend.
Friday, 7 March 2014
Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners
Live coverage on FOX Sports 3HD from 6.30pm (AEDT)
Two teams whose season expectations don't match their achievements face off at AAMI Park. It was just four weeks ago that Victory punished the Mariners in their own backyard and results since then give no clearer indication about how this one might go.
Brenton Speed is back in the chair to lead the Fox Football Podcast through another busy round of A-League action, Premier League and the Capital One Cup final alongside Fox Sports commentator Simon Hill and The Daily Telegraph Football Editor Tom Smithies.
Boosted by that 3-1 win in Gosford, Kevin Muscat's team then beat a fizzing Adelaide 4-3 — before getting humiliated in the Melbourne derby. That was the third time this season Victory has conceded four or more goals in a game, and 36 goals conceded in 21 games is a club low.
And it gets worse: Victory has now gone 11 consecutive games without keeping a clean sheet, conceding 26 goals in that period. It was also the seventh time this season Victory has failed to score.
But, on the hand, the Mariners have one just one of the last six away games, without a clean sheet in five. Only Perth (8) has scored fewer on the road than Central Coast (9). Doesn't exactly whet the appetite for a Friday night blockbuster does it?
Mark Rudan says: "It won't be easy for the Victory, missing a number of players and decimated in defence in particular. Victory tend to concede goals by the bucketful — so can they get that defensive structure right? The Mariners will have taken a lot of confidence from that win against Sydney FC and I think they might be just too good for Victory."
Saturday, 8 March 2014
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Newcastle Jets v Melbourne Heart
Live coverage on FOX Sports 3HD from 5.30pm (AEDT)
The Jets might consider going on tour at the moment, so bad has their home form been. Without a win in six at Hunter Stadium — and just two wins in the last 13 home fixtures — the Jets have the fewest home goals in the competition and have failed to score in four home games this season.
Contrast that to the fizzing Heart: last week's Melbourne derby triumph was its fifth win a row, and is undefeated in seven — both club records.
John van 't Schip's team have also kept three consecutive clean sheets and in five games out outscored their opponents 14-2. It's pretty obvious who the momentum is with and it would take a brave individual to chuck out the form book for this one.
Mark Rudan says: "The Jets will have to play a lot more on the counter than they're used to, which they can use to good effect, and they normally play that way away from home, as we saw against the Wanderers and Brisbane. But it's a different proposition at home — we know they wanted to play that game against Sydney FC but weren't allowed to by the opposition who just dropped off. "
Saturday, 8 March 2014
Sydney FC v Western Sydney Wanderers
Live coverage on FOX Sports 3HD from 5.00pm (AEDT)
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Apparently there was no intent in scheduling the Sydney derby for the opening weekend of the NRL — but 40,000-odd at Allianz Stadium on Saturday night would send out a strong message out the pulling power this fixture now boasts.
On the pitch, form makes it very difficult to read: Sydney is now winless in eight games, but have been still creating chances — 14 shots on target in last week's loss to the Mariner, with Liam Reddy making seven saves.
Western Sydney, on the other hand, only managed one shot on target in its insipid loss to Newcastle, the first time that has happened in the club's short history. You can't see Tony Popovic letting that happen again this weekend.
In his favour, the Sky Blues haven't kept a clean sheet since round 8, and have conceded 16 goals at home this season.
But it's not good reading for the Wanderers, either. Popovic's team have won only three in their past 10 — and lost four in that run — and keeping just two clean sheets in that run.
Mark Rudan says: "Form can go out of the window in these games. But I think teams have worked out the Wanderers patterns and movements. I'm expecting a big one from Mark Bridge against Sydney; he loves the big occasions.
"Sydney need to continue to make chances, as they did against the Mariners last week. The problem is they're not getting in behind opposition defences enough; perhaps they don't have enough pace.
"But you don't normally see the Wanderers lose three in a row, and Sydney don't draw too many games, so I'm going with the Wanderers."
Sunday, 9 March 2014
Wellington Phoenix v Perth Glory
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Westpac Stadium, Wellington, New Zealand
Live coverage on FOX Sports 3HD from 3:00pm (AEDT)
Bottom of the ladder with just 20 goals in 21 games, Perth Glory has serious problems right now. Not the time for the longest trip in world football.
With four straight losses and no win in seven, it's fair to say Kenny Lowe's tenure has been a failure. Rumours of internal disruptions only serve to paint the picture of a club in crisis, and the loss of Danny Vukovic will only make things worse.
Glory might take some solace in the fact, however, that Wellington has the second-worst defence in the competition, including that horrible 5-0 thumping by Melbourne Heart a couple of weeks ago.
On top of that, Ernie Merrick's team have only scored 12 goals in 10 home games, five of which came in the thrashing of Victory.
This distance derby really could go either way.
Mark Rudan says: "It goes from bad to worse for Perth and Danny Vukovic has been one of the outstanding keepers in the league this season. How they turn it around I don't know, it'll be a tough ask for Kenny Lowe. And at home, I think the Phoenix might have the edge."
Sunday, 9 March 2014
Brisbane Roar v Adelaide United
Live coverage on FOX Sports 3HD from 5.00pm (AEDT)
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Game of the season? It certainly has the potential to deliver entertainment and quality, something the A-League has been short of this term.
Who wouldn't want to watch the two highest-scoring teams with the best possession stats and completed pass percentages face off?
After ended a three games winless streak against Perth last week, Brisbane will want to get its momentum back to push on for the Premiers' Plate. But the numbers show this could be an even battle.
The Roar has the Best defence in the league conceding a league low 19 goals and concede the second fewest shots per game (11.6) — second only to Adelaide — and its 19 home goals are second to only Adelaide's 24 goals at Coopers Stadium.
But the Reds have scored more overall (38-36), scoring at least one in their past 10 matches. Though while Josep Gombau's side are the best first-half team (22 first-half goals, in the lead at the break 12 times) Brisbane has conceded only eight first-half goals, and scored 23 of its 36 goals in the second half.
Mark Rudan says: "When you've got that many players scoring from different parts of the park, it makes it really difficult for any team to stop it. When your confidence is high, anything is possible — and Adelaide are starting to hit form at the right time of the season.
"Brisbane came off a two-game losing streak last week; it's more about how they can continue their momentum, and how they can play against packed defences. You don't become the top team if you worry too much about the opposition. But I'm going with Adelaide — Brisbane haven't been all that good at home."